
Spain July services PMI hit 58.3, the highest since March 2023, beating 54.9 consensus. New orders drove the lift. Price pressures eased. The euro held near $1.0920.
Spain's services sector expanded at its fastest pace in 16 months during July, with the HCOB Services PMI printing at 58.3 against a consensus estimate of 54.9. The reading, the highest since March 2023, accelerated sharply from June's 56.8 and pushed the composite PMI to 55.8 from 55.4.
New business growth drove the uplift, rising at the strongest rate since January last year. The gain was concentrated in the domestic market. Export orders rose only modestly and lagged the overall pace, HCOB said.
Price pressures continued to ease. Input cost inflation slowed for a second straight month to the lowest since February, though service providers still reported higher energy and fuel costs, the survey found. Selling price inflation moderated to its weakest since March 2021, suggesting some margin compression as firms absorbed costs.
"Service sector growth took off during July as market demand strengthened and resulted in a sizeable increase in new business," said Jonas Feldhusen, Junior Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank. "Firms subsequently struggled to keep on top of their workloads and recruited extra staff as a result."
Feldhusen cautioned that sales growth partly reflected margin compression and that confidence dipped from June. "With ongoing uncertainty in the geopolitical outlook, it therefore remains to be seen whether July's stellar rate of sector growth can be sustained in the near-term."
The data reinforces Spain's position as one of the euro zone's stronger performers. The euro held near $1.0920 after the release, with traders weighing the impact on European Central Bank rate expectations. A hot services print, combined with still-elevated wage pressures in the bloc, complicates the case for a September cut, though markets continue to price roughly 60 basis points of easing by year-end. A sustained run above 58 would keep the ECB's hawks vocal. The next test for the euro comes with Friday's U.S. payrolls data.
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