
Rupee hit 83.52, its lowest since June, as oil importers bought dollars and the greenback firmed. RBI likely intervened. Traders watch 83.60-83.65 zone.
The rupee slipped to a two-month low on Tuesday, with traders pointing to sustained dollar demand from oil importers and a broadly stronger greenback. The local currency closed at 83.52 against the dollar, its weakest since mid-June.
Oil prices held near $82 a barrel for Brent crude, keeping importers active in the spot market. India meets about 85% of its crude需求 through purchases abroad, so every sustained rally in oil pressures the rupee through higher hedging and settlement demand.
The dollar index edged up 0.2% on the day, adding to headwinds for emerging-market currencies. Traders said the Reserve Bank of India likely intervened through state-run banks to smooth the move, selling dollars near the 83.55 level. The RBI typically caps sharp falls but does not defend a specific line.
A broader risk-off tone in Asian equities also weighed. Foreign portfolio outflows from Indian stocks have picked up in August, adding to the currency's weakness. Provisional exchange data showed overseas investors sold about $1.2 billion of local equities this month through Monday.
The 83.60-83.65 zone is the next technical level to watch for the rupee, traders said. A break above that would open a path toward the all-time low of 83.72 hit in July. On the upside, resistance sits near 83.30.
Oil prices remain the wild card. Any escalation in Middle East tensions or a supply disruption could push crude above $85, accelerating rupee losses. The RBI's next policy decision is due Oct. 9, with markets pricing no change in the repo rate.
Prepared with AlphaScala editorial tooling from the source reporting linked above. Indexable analysis may include a cited Alpha Score value. Publishing checks screen each story before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.