
The RBI sold dollars via sell-buy swaps as crude climbed and NDF maturities created dollar demand. Oil's rise widens India's import bill, threatening the current account.
The Reserve Bank of India stepped into the spot market Wednesday, selling dollars through sell-buy swaps to slow the rupee's slide, two traders familiar with the transactions said. The intervention came as crude oil prices extended their rally to a three-month high and a batch of maturing non-deliverable forward contracts created a wave of dollar demand.
Crude accounts for roughly a quarter of India's import bill. Each $10 per barrel rise adds about $15 billion to the annual oil-import cost, according to a 2023 RBI working paper. The central bank's swap operation absorbs rupee liquidity without permanently draining foreign-exchange reserves, the traders said.
Separately, the NDF expiry pushed the rupee to a fresh low against the dollar earlier in the session. The RBI's presence in the spot market helped the currency recover, one of the traders added.
Oil prices and the dollar's broader strength remain the main near-term risk for the rupee. The RBI's next scheduled policy review is in October.
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