
Zurich portfolio analysis puts Rajasthan's renewable Value at Risk at $16.4bn, Gujarat at $8.6bn, Arunachal at $13.1bn, with most assets in highest risk categories.
A new Zurich report identifies three Indian states as critical for climate risk resilience in the country's renewable energy push. Rajasthan, Gujarat and Arunachal Pradesh together carry a combined $38 billion in Value at Risk across assessed renewable assets, with the highest shares of capacity in the most severe risk categories by 2030.
Rajasthan leads in absolute exposure. Zurich assessed 272 sites there, covering 82,149 MW of planned capacity. The state's Value at Risk stands at $16.4 billion, the report said, with 85% of assets falling into risk categories 4 or 5, the two highest tiers.
"Temperatures regularly exceed 50°C in the state, simultaneously stressing solar panels and the balance-of-plant they depend on," the report said.
Gujarat holds 172 sites and 47,530 MW across solar and wind. Its Value at Risk is $8.6 billion, with 90% of assets in categories 4 or 5. The hazard mix there is more complex than in Rajasthan.
"The hazard profile is particularly complex: in addition to the hail and tornado exposure it shares with Rajasthan, Gujarat's long coastline introduces cyclone and storm surge risks that affect coastal solar and wind assets," Zurich noted.
Arunachal Pradesh presents the most concentrated risk profile. Just 30 assessed sites carry a Value at Risk of $13.1 billion. A full 96% of assets sit in the critical risk categories 4 and 5. The portfolio is almost entirely hydropower, located in the eastern Himalayan foothills.
Other states show a wide spread. Karnataka has the lowest critical-asset share at just 5%. Uttarakhand sits at the other end with 94% of assets in the highest risk categories, driven by "extremes in Himalayan precipitation – flood risk, slope instability and changing hydrology," the report said. Uttar Pradesh has 78% in the highest categories, with flood exposure from the Ganga river system and extreme heat events.
Zurich said multi-hazard stress-testing of the most exposed projects can help quantify the difference between Value at Risk and actual losses when mitigation actions are taken. The report stressed that forward-looking climate screening should become a standard requirement in site selection, project approval and permitting.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.