
Sterling and the FTSE rose after Starmer resigned, with traders betting on policy continuity. The pound recovered early losses as the market looked past political uncertainty.
Pound Sterling climbed against the euro and the US dollar on Tuesday, recovering from early losses after Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigned. The FTSE 100 also moved higher.
Traders said the gains reflected a market looking past the immediate political uncertainty. With a new Labour leader expected to maintain broadly similar fiscal and regulatory direction, the risk premium embedded in sterling has narrowed. That has supported demand for UK gilts, reinforcing the positive tone for equities.
The resignation removes a source of political risk that had weighed on UK assets for weeks. Sterling had been under pressure amid leadership speculation, while the FTSE had lagged European peers. The recovery Tuesday erased those discounts, several currency strategists said.
Attention now shifts to the timeline for the Labour leadership vote. The process is expected to take several weeks, during which policy continuity is assumed. That assumption will be tested when candidates outline their economic platforms.
The next Bank of England decision also looms as a potential catalyst. A rate cut in June would widen the yield gap with the US; a hold would protect sterling's yield advantage. Traders said the pound's reaction to the resignation suggests the market is leaning toward stability rather than a policy shift.
The FTSE 100's gain was led by domestically focused stocks, which had been most exposed to political disruption. Financials and utilities climbed. Export-heavy sectors lagged as the stronger pound made their overseas revenues less valuable in sterling terms.
Analysts at several UK brokers said the market repricing is orderly. The lack of a sharp sterling selloff during the transition supports the view that investors see the Labour leadership change as a continuation, not a rupture.
One risk flagged by a currency desk in London is that the pound has already priced in an ideal scenario. If the leadership contest reopens fiscal debates, sterling could give back its gains. For now, the market is betting on continuity.
Tuesday's move brought sterling back above the 50-day moving average against the dollar. The FTSE 100 closed near its session high. Traders said volume was above average for a UK session, suggesting conviction behind the flows.
The next concrete test is the April inflation and GDP data, due in the coming weeks. Those figures will shape whether the Bank of England cuts rates in June or holds. The leadership vote timeline intersects with that data cycle.
For now, the pound and FTSE have absorbed a political shock without damage. That is itself a signal that the market trusts the institutional framework.
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