
Oil slid 4% as profit-taking met diplomatic efforts on U.S.-Iran talks. WTI fell to $89, Brent to $95. The dollar eased, lifting EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
Oil prices slid 4% on Tuesday. Traders booked profits after a strong rally, shifting focus to diplomatic efforts to restart U.S.-Iran negotiations. WTI crude settled near $89 a barrel, retreating from resistance at $91.50 to $92.00. Brent crude slipped toward $95, pulling back from the $100 level.
The pullback in crude weighed on the dollar. The greenback had gained during the oil rally on expectations of higher inflation and a tighter Federal Reserve. The dollar index eased as oil eased, giving room for currencies tied to commodity prices to recover.
EUR/USD rose toward 1.0850 as the dollar weakened. The pair had been under pressure from the oil-driven dollar strength. Traders said the euro's gain was modest, limited by the European Central Bank's cautious stance on rate cuts.
Sterling also firmed. GBP/USD climbed above 1.2700. The Bank of England's rate path remains a focus, the immediate catalyst was the oil-driven dollar move. A break above 1.2750 would open the door to 1.2800, traders said.
The Canadian dollar, sensitive to oil prices, strengthened against the greenback. USD/CAD fell toward 1.3650 as WTI's retreat eased concerns about Canada's export revenues. The pair's next support sits at 1.3600, with resistance at 1.3700.
The yen, a safe haven, saw mixed flows. USD/JPY edged lower to 157.50 as the dollar weakened. The pair remained near that level as traders weighed the Bank of Japan's policy divergence. A break below 157.00 would signal further yen strength, traders said.
The oil pullback came amid reports that China, Qatar, and Pakistan are trying to facilitate U.S.-Iran talks. Neither side has shown willingness to compromise, traders said. The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. President Trump said he could make U.S. attacks "bigger than ever before." The stalemate keeps a floor under oil prices, traders added.
WTI oil faces support at $86.00 to $86.50 if it breaks below $89.00. Brent's next support is at $91.00. On the upside, WTI resistance at $91.50 to $92.00 and Brent at $100.00 to $100.50 remain key levels. Natural gas also slipped, falling toward $2.85, with support at $2.75 to $2.80. Yesterday's EIA report showed working gas in storage increased by 32 Bcf, failing to support prices.
For currency traders, the next catalyst is any shift in U.S.-Iran negotiations or a change in oil inventory data. The weekly EIA report is due Wednesday. A sustained move below $89.00 in WTI would likely keep the dollar under pressure, boosting EUR/USD and GBP/USD further, traders said.
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