
Brent crude slid toward $75 as the U.S.-Iran interim agreement took effect. Fed, ECB, and BoE signals alongside weak China data deepened the commodity rout.
Brent crude slid toward $75 a barrel this week after the U.S.-Iran interim agreement formally took effect, sending global oil prices to their lowest level since January. The deal, which eased supply-risk premiums that had built since early spring, knocked roughly 6% off benchmark crude in five sessions. WTI settled near $71, down from $77 the previous Friday.
The agreement came after weeks of heightened rhetoric, including Trump's threat of new strikes on Iranian facilities, which had earlier pushed oil above $80. The Iran deal effectively removed the immediate war-risk premium from crude pricing, traders said.
Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England signals added a second layer of pressure. All three central banks held rates steady this week, with the Fed's dot plot showing no cuts before September. A higher-for-longer interest rate outlook strengthened the dollar, making dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for non-U.S. buyers and further weighing on oil and metals.
Economic reports from Asia reinforced the demand-side drag. Chinese industrial output growth slowed more than expected in May, according to data released Thursday. Japan's core machinery orders also missed forecasts. The combination of softer Chinese factory activity and a strong dollar pushed crude oil to its lowest close since Jan. 10.
The oil drop cascaded through other commodity markets. Aluminum gave back gains from the previous week as supply routes adapted to the Iran shock, with the aluminum rally fading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Copper slipped 2% as the demand outlook from China dimmed. Gold dipped below $2,300 as the dollar rally reduced haven demand, though geopolitical risks kept a floor under prices.
BMW shares fell 3% after the automaker warned that higher raw material costs and weaker Chinese demand would hit second-quarter margins. DeepSeek, the Chinese AI startup, gained 12% on its Shanghai debut after a funding round that valued it at $6 billion, bucking the broader commodity-linked selloff in Asian equities.
For broader commodity market analysis, AlphaScala's commodities coverage tracks the cross-asset implications of the Iran deal and central bank policy divergence.
Brent crude settled at $76.20 on Friday, its lowest close since Jan. 10. WTI finished at $71.85. The next major test for oil comes with the weekly U.S. inventory report Tuesday and the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge due Friday.
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