
India pulled in $65 billion through FCNR-B deposits in 75 days as NRIs chase returns. Banks are borrowing overseas to fund the inflows. SBI sees total collections hitting $85 billion before the swap window closes Aug. 31.
India has pulled in $65.397 billion through Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank) deposits in the 75 days through Aug. 21, as NRIs chase returns of 6.00% to 7.50% on 3-5 year tenors, according to RBI data.
The inflows accelerated sharply in the final weeks before the central bank's concessional swap facility for fresh FCNR-B deposits closes on Aug. 31. Banks raised $13.097 billion in the eight days ending Aug. 21, up from $15.575 billion in the preceding 13 days.
RBI introduced the special USD-INR forex swap covering FCNR(B) deposits, ECBs, and overseas foreign currency borrowings on June 8. Total forex inflows through all three routes reached $72.848 billion.
Banks themselves borrowed $4.860 billion via the overseas foreign currency borrowing route in the same June 8 to Aug. 21 window. Bankers said that shows institutions are leveraging their own balance sheets to fund NRI deposits, parking the proceeds back with the same lenders.
Saumya Kanti Ghosh, group chief economic advisor at State Bank of India, said total collections under the FCNR-B route could hit $85 billion before the window shuts. He estimated the balance of payments surplus at roughly $50 billion, with the current account deficit running at 1% of GDP.
"While there may be valid reasons to justify an early closure of the swap facility, the most likely reason could be that the target for FCNR-B mobilization has already been achieved," Ghosh said.
The deadline was originally scheduled for Sept. 30. RBI pulled it forward one month on Aug. 19. Market participants expect total inflows under the FCNR-B route to approach $80 billion if the final eight days sustain the recent pace.
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