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Nifty 50 needs 8% to reclaim peak; mid-caps sit 0.14% away
Nifty 50 needs 8% to reclaim its January peak. Mid-caps are 0.14% away. Small-caps need 3.92%. Historical data shows smaller indices recover slower.
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The Nifty 50 needs to rise 8% from its July 31 close of 24,384 to return to the January 2026 peak of 26,329, based on an analysis by Abakkus Mutual Fund. That gap is the widest among the three main market-cap segments the fund examined.
The Nifty Midcap 150 sits just 0.14% below its record high of 23,171. The Nifty Smallcap 250 requires a 3.92% gain to reclaim its peak of 18,623.
The distance to prior highs is one measure of how each segment has fared since the January peak. The historical data on drawdowns and recovery times adds another layer.
Since January 1991, the Nifty 50 has seen 27 declines of 5-10%, or roughly one every 1.3 years, according to the Abakkus data. Falls exceeding 20% have occurred nine times. Recovery time varies sharply by crash type. During the COVID-19 selloff, the Nifty 50 fell 38.4% and took 300 days to complete its fall-and-recovery cycle. The 2008 financial crisis was deeper: the index dropped 59.9% and required 1,032 days to recover.