
Deven Choksey says the Nifty 50 floor is 22,400 and the upside 26,400 over two months. He advises retail investors to use advisors and buy dips, calling volatility the best friend.
Indian equities suffered their worst session since March on Wednesday. The Sensex lost 1,677 points, or 2.15%, to 76,503. The Nifty 50 fell 516 points, or 2.12%, to 23,882. Every single Sensex stock finished lower. The India VIX jumped nearly 25%.
The trigger was a new escalation in the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire over after Iran struck three tankers. Brent crude jumped nearly 4.7% in a single session to $77.64 a barrel, a two-day surge of almost 8%.
The rupee slipped 20 paise to hover near 95.16-95.20 against the dollar.
Deven Choksey, managing director at D R Choksey FinServ, told Rediff.com that the sell-off is a buying opportunity. The fundamentals of the Indian growth story remain untouched, he said. "Volatility is going to be part of the market. Reality is going to be continuing volatility. There is no change in that," Choksey said. "Volatility is the best friend of the investor. Market, if fundamentals are strong and when the opportunity on the pricing front is available, then the volatility is the best friend of investors." His formula: "Buy on dips, buy on dips and sell on rise."
Choksey gave a two-month range for the Nifty 50: a floor of 22,400 and an upside of 26,400. The lower number is a base, not a target, he clarified. "In a worse situation, it might go into that direction."
On sectors, he pointed to power, power ancillary, banks, NBFCs, and manufacturing as relatively stable. Margins could face challenges in some pockets due to commodity behavior, he said.
Choksey pushed back on the crude-import worry. "The total amount of import of crude oil has not grown in the last 5 years. It has actually come down," he said, urging deeper scrutiny of the quantity rather than the rupee value.
His advice for retail investors was blunt. "If you become a doctor yourself, then you don't ask this question. Retail investor must go to the SEBI-registered financial advisor, must operate through an advisor. Let the advisor help him in developing and building his portfolio."
On the monsoon, he dismissed the subnormal narrative. "It's no longer subnormal; it's turning normal."
TCS kicks off the June-quarter results on July 9. Choksey said the season should not disappoint on revenue, though margins could be squeezed in some pockets.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.