
Natural gas futures stalled near $2.90 Friday as summer heatwaves failed to draw down storage. The August contract remains range-bound with resistance at $3.00 and the 200-day EMA above that level.
Natural gas futures stalled near $2.90 on Friday, with the August contract dipping to $2.85 before recovering, according to FXEmpire analyst Chris.
The $2.90 level has become a pivot. Resistance sits at $3.00 and the 200-day moving average above that level, the analyst wrote. A break above $3.00 could open a run to the 200-day EMA. The lack of sustained summer heat has kept storage draws minimal, he said. The August contract, tied directly to immediate weather demand, has failed to gain traction because the heatwaves have not been strong enough to meaningfully reduce storage.
Natural gas is a cyclical market, and low demand typical for this time of year, the analyst noted. The front-month August contract reflects current weather conditions, while buying interest usually picks up as traders shift to the October contract, when winter heating demand begins to factor in. For now, prices remain range-bound near recent lows.
Weekly storage reports will be closely watched for signs of tightening. If forecasts show no sustained heat in the coming weeks, natural gas could test support near $2.80. Conversely, a sudden heatwave could push prices above $3.00. The current pattern mirrors earlier coverage of how short positioning has kept the market sensitive to weather shifts.
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