
Natural gas prices slipped to a four-week low as mild weather cut demand and storage builds exceeded forecasts. The $1.90 support level is in focus with the next EIA report due Thursday.
Natural gas futures closed near $2.00 Friday, extending a slide that has lasted four consecutive weeks. The September contract settled at $2.015, down 1.5% on the week. Mild weather across the U.S. has kept heating and cooling demand in check, leaving the market without a near-term catalyst.
The Energy Information Administration reported a storage injection of 65 billion cubic feet for the week ended Aug. 2. That topped the 58 bcf consensus and marked the third straight week that builds have exceeded the five-year average. The surplus has pinned the front-month near the lower end of the $1.90–$2.50 range that has held since May.
LNG export demand has been steady at roughly 12 bcf per day, several traders said. Domestic consumption softened as temperatures in the Midwest and Northeast hovered near seasonal norms.
Qatar’s efforts to restore its NFE liquefaction train, which tripped offline in June, have drawn attention from traders tracking potential shifts in global LNG supply. The country is operating at an estimated 80% of its pre-outage capacity, according to industry estimates cited by traders. A full return by October would ease concerns about European storage refill rates. Any delay could tighten the Atlantic basin market just as winter demand starts to build.
The $1.90 level represents the next support zone, a level that held during the April selloff. Some traders said a break below that could trigger stop-loss selling toward the late-2019 low of $1.60, though many view that scenario as unlikely without a colder winter forecast.
The next catalyst arrives Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET, when the EIA releases its weekly storage report. A build above 70 bcf would likely reinforce the bearish tone and test the $1.90 support.
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