
TRM Labs data shows only 281 of 1,343 pre-MiCA crypto firms received authorization. Poland lost the most ground; Germany held its position. Sanctions exposure is the dividing line.
Only one in five crypto firms that operated in Europe before MiCA got the green light to keep serving EU clients. The rest – 1,062 out of 1,343 – are out.
TRM Labs published the figures Tuesday. The report is the first broad count of how the Markets in Crypto Assets regulation reshaped the European industry after the grandfathering period ended.
Poland took the hardest hit. None of the more than 1,800 crypto organizations registered there received MiCA authorization. Lithuania, another jurisdiction known for light registration rules, saw just 8 of over 400 firms approved.
The countries that built licensing capacity early held their ground. Germany's BaFin authorized 55 firms, the most of any single regulator. France and the Netherlands each licensed 29.
TRM Labs also ran risk ratings on both groups. Among the firms that lost authorization, 12% carried a High or Severe risk classification. Among the authorized group, the figure was 2%.
The difference comes down to sanctions exposure. Unauthorized firms sent $5 billion to sanctioned counterparties, TRM Labs found. Authorized firms sent $1.7 billion.
"Half show no measurable illicit exposure, while a small number route 1% to 12% of their volume directly to illicit addresses," the report said. "As a result, exposure is roughly four times higher for offboarding firms."
The European Securities and Markets Authority has directed unauthorized crypto asset service providers to stop accepting new EU clients.
MiCA has not been without friction. Crypto executives have raised concerns that the regulation cuts European access to large-market-cap stablecoins. The EU is planning a full revision of the framework focused on that issue and on bringing tokenized assets under its scope.
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