
A ₹28,000 crore debt sale tests demand after hawkish RBI minutes and a crude spike pushed yields to a two-month high. Traders see sufficient auction bids.
Indian government bonds steadied early Friday as oil prices stabilised, offering some relief after hawkish central bank minutes and a crude spike put the market on track for its worst week since early April.
The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yielded 6.8723% at 10:45 a.m. IST, perched near Thursday's close and a two-month high. The yield has risen about 12 basis points this week, on track for its biggest weekly increase since April 3.
A ₹28,000 crore ($2.93 billion) debt sale later in the day will test demand. A 15-year bond makes up more than half the supply.
“There is a weakening bias in the market because of the hawkish RBI policy minutes, though the auction should see sufficient demand,” said Gopal Tripathi, head of treasury and capital markets at Jana Small Finance Bank.
Brent crude futures eased into a holding pattern at $93.5 a barrel in Asian trade.
Sentiment has weakened since the RBI released minutes of its August meeting on Wednesday, which struck a more hawkish tone than its policy statement. Expectations of an RBI rate hike this year have resurfaced as inflation pressures build. Domestic support has ebbed after the central bank brought forward by a month the closure of a dollar-attracting scheme that had been a key source of bond demand.
Retail inflation in July accelerated to 4.45%, above the RBI's 4% medium-term target.
Traders said higher oil prices and global yields would shape the market's next move. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was near 4.70%, adding pressure.
India's overnight indexed swap rates awaited fresh cues after a sharp rise in the previous session. The one-year swap rate was flat at 5.9250%. The two-year rate rose 1 basis point to 6.17%. The liquid five-year rate was little changed at 6.4725%.
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