
The IMF says stablecoin purchases are 2-3 times more sensitive to global shocks than traditional foreign investment, with $6-8 billion traded monthly in Brazil.
The International Monetary Fund warned that Brazil's stablecoin market, the largest in Latin America, is growing three times faster than traditional capital flows. Dollar-pegged tokens account for nearly 89% of Brazil's reported crypto trading volume, the IMF said in a new report. The market processes roughly $6 billion to $8 billion each month.
Brazil recorded 185.7 million stablecoin buy and sell transactions in total, up from almost none in 2019. Activity accelerated sharply from 2024, with 18.2 million transactions in November 2024 alone, the IMF found.
Stablecoin purchases are two to three times more sensitive to global market shocks than traditional foreign investment, the IMF said. Money can enter or exit Brazil's stablecoin market much faster when global markets turn volatile.
Businesses are using dollar-pegged tokens to manage currency risk and make cross-border transfers easier. Retail users are turning to them as a hedge against local currency swings. Brazil's Pix instant payment system has helped, the IMF said. Millions of users already comfortable with digital payments face a smaller learning curve moving to crypto wallets and stablecoins.
The IMF described Brazil's crypto market as "large and fast-growing" and increasingly connected to the traditional financial system. It said the central bank has taken important steps to control the growing market. Gaps remain around customer asset protection, stablecoin issuance and anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing rules.
The Banco Central do Brasil has already started tightening its rules. In April, Resolution BCB No. 561 restricted electronic foreign exchange providers from using digital assets for certain international payments and transfers. Cross-border transactions must instead use standard foreign exchange channels or non-resident Brazilian real accounts. The move suggests Brazil is not looking to ban stablecoins outright, the IMF said. Regulators are trying to keep growing crypto activity within the formal financial system.
If stablecoin flows continue outpacing traditional capital flows, global market shocks could reach Brazil's financial system much faster than under the current framework, the IMF warned.
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