First Police Group Backs Crypto Bill as Lummis Targets July Vote

The organization also addressed Section 604, which houses the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, a provision shielding non-custodial software developers from money-transmitter licensing. Rather than treating it as a loophole, NOBLE wrote that the bill would "expand regulatory obligations for digital-asset industry participants, strengthen digital-asset seizure authority and transparency, and tighten oversight of virtual-asset kiosks."

That language goes directly against warnings issued by Senator Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts Democrat who voted against the measure when the Senate Banking Committee advanced it 15-9 in May. With the first major police organization now on the record saying the legislation strengthens rather than starves enforcement, the illicit-finance argument becomes harder to press on the floor.

Senate Republican leadership is racing to pass the bill before the August recess, with a critical four-week window running from July 13 to Aug. 7. The National Defense Authorization Act could consume the week of July 13, potentially pushing the Clarity Act's floor time to late July or early August. A miss before recess would dim passage prospects into 2027.

The vote math remains tight. Republicans hold 53 seats, meaning at least seven Democratic crossovers are needed to clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold. Galaxy Research puts the odds of passage this year at roughly 50%. Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott and Majority Leader John Thune are coordinating the floor schedule, while Lummis has publicly set July as her deadline for a vote.

The NOBLE endorsement gives wavering Democrats a law enforcement constituency – rather than the crypto industry – vouching for the bill's investigative teeth. Whether that is enough to pry loose seven votes may become clear within the coming few weeks.