
European stocks rose after German CPI disappointed, sending bund yields lower and the dollar weaker. The pound reached $1.33. All eyes turn to US CPI Thursday.
European stocks climbed Tuesday. The Stoxx 600 added half a percent, led by technology and real estate shares. Cooling German inflation data pushed bund yields lower, reviving bets on a European Central Bank rate cut later this year. The pound extended its rally against the dollar to $1.33, the highest in two weeks.
Germany's October CPI came in at 1.6% year on year, below the 1.8% economists had expected. That dragged the 10-year German bund yield down 6 basis points to 2.12%. Lower discount rates tend to support growth stocks and rate-sensitive sectors. The Stoxx 600 Technology index rose 0.9%. Real estate added 1.2%. Financials lagged, with bank stocks slipping 0.3% on the margin squeeze from lower yields.
The dollar weakened broadly after the data. The euro ticked up to $1.12, a three-week high. Sterling outperformed, helped by hawkish comments from Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill, who said inflation persistence meant rate cuts should be gradual. The dollar index fell 0.3%.
Commodities got a lift from the softer dollar. Copper futures settled 0.8% higher at $4.28 a pound. Gold edged up to $2,655 an ounce, recovering from last week's slide. Brent crude held near $72 a barrel as OPEC+ supply cuts offset demand concerns. The weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for non-U.S. buyers.
In equity sectors, the rotation out of financials and into rate-sensitive names was the dominant move. Insurers fell 0.5%. Utilities rose 1%. The Stoxx 600 Health Care index was flat, while energy stocks tracked oil higher. The broader index now sits at 520, just 1% below its April high.
Traders are watching the US consumer price index due Thursday. A softer-than-expected print would reinforce the global disinflation narrative, traders said. That could push the dollar lower and support European equities further. A hot number would test the rally. The bund yield decline Tuesday already priced in some of that outcome.
The next scheduled data point is the US CPI release at 8:30 a.m. ET Thursday.
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