
DefiLlama now tracks Kalshi's $197M annualized revenue, revealing a CFTC-regulated platform that rivals mid-tier DeFi protocols in scale.
The crypto analytics platform now tracks a CFTC-regulated prediction market, and the numbers make most on-chain protocols look modest.
DefiLlama, the go-to dashboard for tracking decentralized finance metrics, just did something that would have been unthinkable two years ago. It added a centralized, CFTC-regulated prediction market to its revenue tracker.
Kalshi, the event derivatives exchange best known for letting people bet on everything from election outcomes to sports results, now sits on DefiLlama’s off-chain revenue dashboard. The numbers it brought with it are hard to ignore: roughly $4.84 million in daily revenue, $16.14 million over the past 30 days, and an annualized run rate near $197 million.
Kalshi’s 30-day trading volume clocks in at $5.865 billion. Its open interest sits around $597 million. Cumulative volume on the platform has crossed $34.8 billion.
Kalshi doesn’t have a token. There’s no governance vote, no airdrop speculation, no liquidity mining program inflating activity. The platform’s revenue comes from actual trading fees on binary contracts.
Previously, Kalshi’s revenue went unreported by DefiLlama, even as the platform was estimated to be generating hundreds of millions annually. That gap made it difficult for analysts, traders, and investors to get a standardized view of how the prediction market landscape actually looked.
Kalshi operates as a designated contract market under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The platform has raised over $2.68 billion in funding to date, including a $200 million Series round. That war chest positions it to continue scaling aggressively, particularly in sports betting and political event contracts, its two primary verticals.
Kalshi’s $197 million annualized revenue puts it in the same conversation as mid-tier DeFi protocols and some publicly traded fintech companies. That kind of revenue, generated under CFTC oversight, is exactly the profile that traditional allocators find compelling.
The addition of Kalshi to DefiLlama’s off-chain revenue dashboard changes the reference frame for crypto-native analysts. A platform with no native token, no yield farming, and no governance token is now one of the highest-revenue entities tracked by the site. That forces a re-evaluation of what “DeFi revenue” actually means when a regulated exchange can out-earn most on-chain protocols without issuing a single token.
For traders and allocators using DefiLlama to screen opportunities, the Kalshi data point introduces a new variable. The platform’s revenue is real, recurring, and backed by regulatory clarity. That combination is rare in crypto and may attract capital that would otherwise flow into DeFi yield strategies.
The inclusion of Kalshi signals that DefiLlama is expanding its scope beyond pure decentralized finance. The platform now serves as a broader analytics layer for digital asset markets, including regulated off-chain venues. That shift matters because it gives institutional investors a single pane of glass to compare on-chain and off-chain activity.
Kalshi’s $5.865 billion in 30-day volume and $597 million open interest show that prediction markets are no longer a niche. The platform’s cumulative volume of $34.8 billion rivals some spot crypto exchanges. For allocators evaluating event-driven exposure, Kalshi offers a regulated alternative to unlicensed offshore platforms.
The risk for DeFi protocols is that Kalshi’s growth accelerates, drawing liquidity and attention away from on-chain prediction markets like Polymarket or Augur. The reward for Kalshi is that DefiLlama’s endorsement may bring more institutional eyes to its platform.
The next decision point is whether other regulated venues follow Kalshi onto DefiLlama’s dashboard. If they do, the line between DeFi and TradFi analytics will continue to blur, and the data sets that traders rely on will need to adapt.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.