Crypto Bill Odds on Polymarket Fall to Record Low 24%

The likelihood of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act passing in 2026 dropped to a record low of 24% on Polymarket, according to data tracked by CoinDesk. The Senate has not scheduled a floor vote on the bill, which passed the House in July 2025 and cleared the Senate Banking Committee in May 2026.

The August recess is approaching. The window for passage this year is narrowing. The report said the delay could push regulatory clarity for the crypto industry to 2027 or beyond.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has not indicated when the bill might come to the floor. CoinDesk noted that a scheduled floor vote or public support from the White House would likely push the odds higher. The Senate returns from recess in September. The legislative calendar is crowded.