
Crude futures break above key moving averages as Middle East missile strikes and a softer US CPI weaken the dollar, boosting commodities. Brent tops $85.
Crude oil futures climbed on Tuesday, with light sweet crude breaking above its 200-day moving average and Brent topping $85 a barrel. The rally followed a fresh exchange of missile strikes between the U.S. and Iran, raising the risk of disruptions to oil flows from the region.
The dollar slipped after a softer-than-expected U.S. CPI reading, making dollar-denominated crude cheaper for foreign buyers. A weaker dollar typically supports commodities priced in the currency, and the CPI data reduced the likelihood of further Federal Reserve tightening that would have strengthened the dollar further.
FXEmpire analyst Chris said the market is reacting to headlines rather than following a typical seasonal pattern. The summer range may prove wider than usual, with the $70 area acting as a floor so far. No clear ceiling has been established, he noted.
Momentum has shifted to the upside over the past two sessions. Some traders cautioned the rally looks stretched. A surprise headline from the Middle East could trigger a sharp move in either direction, they said.
The move in crude supported other commodities. Gold jumped above $4,000 an ounce. Silver held near $60. Natural gas drifted lower on softer weather demand.
For oil traders, the key risk is a de-escalation that could quickly unwind the geopolitical premium. A further escalation could push Brent toward $90. The next catalyst is weekly U.S. inventory data due Wednesday, which will show whether demand is keeping pace with supply.
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