
White House has not signed off on ethics provision for the CLARITY Act, delaying Senate floor vote. Approval odds on Polymarket slip to 31% as August recess approaches.
The CLARITY Act remains stuck in limbo. The White House has not signed off on a key ethics provision, delaying the release of updated bill text and pushing back a Senate floor vote that Majority Leader John Thune had hoped to schedule before the August recess.
According to a Crypto In America report, the White House has not made clear which ethical parameters it would support. That came despite a meeting last week between President Trump and Republican senators focused on the crypto bill. Democrats have pushed for an ethics provision to curb the president's involvement in crypto, especially after his financial disclosure showed he earned up to $1.4 billion in crypto income last year.
Senator Elizabeth Warren has asked for Trump's updated financial disclosure, saying it is vital as lawmakers address ethical concerns. Democrats have also signaled that Republicans have largely failed to include them in negotiations over the provision, including during last week's White House meeting.
Thune said he wants a floor vote before August but acknowledged a bipartisan agreement has not been reached. The uncertainty has weighed on market expectations. Data from Polymarket, a top crypto prediction platform, shows a 31% chance of Trump signing the CLARITY Act into law this year – a new low.
Another sticking point is the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, or BRCA, which protects developers of decentralized crypto platforms from being held liable for users' activities or classified as money transmitters. Law enforcement groups have argued the provision would make it harder to crack down on illicit finance. Blockchain Association CEO Summer Mersinger told Crypto In America she expects the BRCA provision to stay intact when the Senate releases an updated text.
Mersinger also predicted the floor vote could happen this week. She expressed optimism that the Senate could get the bill across the finish line despite concerns about support.
The broader crypto market has been watching the legislative timeline closely. With the August recess approaching, the window for a vote is narrowing.
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