
A New York hearing exposed deep divisions between state regulators and crypto firms, pushing PredictIt odds for the CLARITY Act to 35% from near 50%.
The CLARITY Act's passage odds fell to 35% on PredictIt after a New York hearing Wednesday, two people briefed on the session said. Witnesses clashed over state preemption and stablecoin oversight, exposing a divide between state regulators and industry advocates that left committee members uncertain about the bill's path.
New York's Department of Financial Services told the panel the act would weaken its enforcement powers. Crypto firms argued for single federal oversight to reduce compliance costs. The exchange lasted more than three hours and included pointed questions from both parties. A committee aide said the next markup is scheduled for July, adding that the hearing's tone indicated further revisions are likely.
The hearing exposed a fundamental disagreement over whether state or federal regulators should oversee digital assets. NYDFS argued that a federal framework would preempt its existing authority over stablecoins and virtual currency businesses. Crypto firms countered that multiple state regimes create compliance burdens that stifle innovation. The committee did not signal a clear direction, the aide said.
The odds shift reflected the market's reassessment after the hearing. The bill had traded near 50% in early May. The drop to 35% came after the session, the people said. The next markup is scheduled for July. No date has been set for a floor vote.
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