
Polymarket odds for CLARITY Act passage jumped after Senate Majority Leader John Thune voiced optimism. The bill, already passed by the House, would split crypto oversight between SEC and CFTC.
Polymarket odds for the CLARITY Act jumped after Senate Majority Leader John Thune voiced optimism about the bill's prospects. The prediction market's contract for passage by year-end rose sharply, reflecting growing confidence that the legislation will clear the Senate after clearing the House.
Thune's comments were the first public signal from Republican leadership since an ethics dispute slowed the bill's progress. The dispute appeared to be nearing resolution, traders said.
The CLARITY Act would split oversight of digital assets between the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The CFTC would take primary authority over crypto spot markets, while the SEC would retain jurisdiction over tokens it deems securities. The bill passed the House with bipartisan support earlier this year.
If enacted, the law would reduce regulatory uncertainty for crypto exchanges and token issuers, backers say. It would also clarify which agency oversees which assets, potentially reducing enforcement disputes. The Senate Banking Committee has not yet scheduled a markup. Thune's remarks suggest leadership is ready to move.
The bill faces a filibuster-proof 60-vote threshold in the Senate. Its fate hinges on resolving the ethics dispute and securing enough Democratic support. Polymarket's pricing reflected a belief that both conditions are within reach, traders said.
The CLARITY Act passed the House in a 285-132 vote. President Donald Trump has not publicly stated his position. His administration has signaled support for clearer crypto rules.
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