Crypto▼ Bearish
Clarity Act odds fall as Republican crypto bill lacks Democratic backing
Clarity Act odds on Polymarket sank from 48% to 38.5% after Republican draft crypto bill excluded Democratic support. The 616-page bill faces an uncertain path forward.
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Odds that the Clarity Act becomes law in 2026 dropped to 38.5% on Polymarket, down from 48% a day earlier. The decline followed the release of a Republican draft crypto bill that excludes Democratic support, according to the prediction market data.
The Clarity Act is a 616-page proposal to reshape federal oversight of digital assets. It needs bipartisan backing to advance through Congress. The Republican draft, circulated without Democratic co-sponsors, made that path narrower.