
Senate Majority Leader Thune said the Clarity Act won't pass before September, effectively killing the bill until 2029. The bill's complex design also drew criticism from industry analysts.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune told reporters the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act will not pass before September. That timing, combined with an election year, means the bill is effectively dead until at least 2029, CoinDesk's Crypto for Advisors newsletter reported.
Thune's statement came after a dispute over the bill's ethics language. The provision would prohibit certain federal officials, including the president, from issuing crypto tokens while in office. Republicans and Democrats reached agreement on proposed language, but Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) dismissed the Republican version as "not a serious effort," according to the newsletter.
Congress typically spends autumn of election years campaigning. If Democrats win either chamber, no bill is expected until 2029 at the earliest, the analysis said.
Aaron Brogan, writing in the newsletter, argued that the bill's failure may not be a loss. The legislation's core design, he said, is based on an outdated paradigm. The Clarity Act creates a classification system with digital commodities (fungible blockchain assets capable of peer-to-peer transfer) and network tokens (digital commodities linked to a distributed ledger system). A subcategory, ancillary assets, covers network tokens whose value depends on managerial efforts of an originator.
Primary sales of a network token that is not an ancillary asset generally are not securities transactions. Sales involving an ancillary asset may be treated as investment-contract transactions and must satisfy a disclosure regime under Regulation Crypto, which provides a bespoke exemption with offering limits and other conditions.
The problem, Brogan wrote, is that the core bargain is unattractive. A network token escapes the ancillary-asset regime only if developers relinquish coordinated control and perform no more than nominal managerial work. Developers who retain control must provide extensive initial and semiannual disclosures, recreating much of the burden that made Regulation A unattractive to crypto issuers.
The Clarity Act also does not address the tax incentive to issue offshore. Regulation Crypto is limited to U.S.-organized originators and provides no special federal tax treatment for token sales. That means projects using Cayman Islands or similar jurisdictions for token issuance tax strategy may find the pathway commercially unusable, Brogan said.
Trevor Overko, in the newsletter's "Ask an Expert" section, said the greatest benefit for investors would be clearer asset classification and mandatory disclosure. Investors need to know what they are buying, which regulator has jurisdiction, what information the project must disclose and what legal protections exist. The current system gives investors the worst of both worlds, he said: many projects do not provide disclosures comparable to public companies, yet they lack a practical regulatory framework tailored to decentralized networks.
Overko said the Clarity Act moves toward a more useful distinction between the fundraising transaction and the underlying network asset. It introduces disclosure requirements, restrictions on insider sales, registration standards for intermediaries and protections around customer assets. None of that removes underlying risk, he said, but it makes risk easier to understand and price.
On whether the bill would need revisions after inception, Overko said almost certainly. Crypto market structure evolves faster than legislation. Staking, decentralized finance, tokenized securities, governance systems and new custody models will continue creating situations lawmakers cannot fully anticipate. The most likely pressure point will be distinguishing genuinely decentralized networks from projects that are decentralized mainly in name. The treatment of ancillary assets will need close attention, he said, because overly broad definitions could allow weak projects to avoid securities protections, while overly narrow definitions could recreate the same uncertainty.
The ultimate goal, Overko said, should be durable principles in legislation, adaptable rules from regulators and a formal review after the market has operated under the framework for a reasonable period. The biggest mistake would be expecting the first version to be perfect and refusing to adjust.
The bill's next realistic window is 2029, if Democrats win either chamber in November.
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