
China's private-sector manufacturing expanded for an eighth straight month in July. The pace slowed to a four-month low. Export orders returned to growth after three months of contraction.
China’s private-sector manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth consecutive month in July. The pace softened to a four-month low. The RatingDog General Manufacturing PMI slipped to 50.9 from 51.7 in June, the survey showed. The index has held above the 50.0 expansion threshold for eight months, matching the longest run since the streak from November 2023 to June 2024.
New orders received by Chinese manufacturers rose for a fourteenth straight month. That is the longest sequence since 2018. Export orders returned to growth for the first time in three months, after a period of contraction. Manufacturing output continued to expand for the eighth month, though the rate of increase slowed to a four-month low following the strongest quarter since early 2024. Employment rose for a second month at the fastest pace since August 2023, driven by higher orders and increased production, the survey said.
Input price inflation moderated for a third straight month to its weakest since January. Firms held output prices broadly flat after six consecutive months of increases, the longest such run since 2021. Manufacturers cut input purchasing for the first time since November 2025. Stocks of purchases climbed for an eighth straight month, the longest sequence since 2006-07. Suppliers’ delivery times lengthened for a fifth month running, though delays remained marginal.
RatingDog founder Yao Yu said the manufacturing sector continued to expand in July, albeit at a slower pace. Sustained new order growth and further easing of cost pressures provided support, he said. The return of export orders to expansion was a positive signal. Yao Yu noted that the reduction in purchasing activity and the ongoing accumulation of input stocks warranted attention. The PMI was expected to remain in expansionary territory in the near term, even as the pace of growth becomes more moderate, he said.
Input price inflation eased to its weakest since January. Output prices were flat. That combination means Chinese manufacturing is not adding to global goods price pressures at the moment. In Japan and Australia, PMI data has shown sharper cost increases this cycle, the survey noted.
Chinese goods producers remained optimistic in their 12-month output forecasts. Sentiment strengthened since June on expectations of stronger demand, new product development, and expanded capacity. The survey attributed the improved outlook to expectations of stronger demand, new product development, expanded capacity, and improved efficiency.
Yao Yu said the return of export orders to expansion was a positive signal. The reduction in purchasing activity and the ongoing accumulation of input stocks warranted attention, he added. The PMI is expected to remain in expansionary territory in the near term, even as the pace of growth becomes more moderate.
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