
Former BIS chief Agustín Carstens now says stablecoins can coexist with fiat under global rules. The shift signals regulatory risk may be turning nuanced for USDT and USDC.
Agustín Carstens, the former general manager of the Bank for International Settlements, said stablecoins can improve financial inclusion and innovation. He stressed that global regulatory frameworks are needed to let them coexist with fiat currencies.
Carstens previously warned that private digital currencies could weaken central bank control over money. Now he struck a more accommodating tone. Properly designed stablecoins backed one-to-one by high-quality assets and subject to consistent oversight across jurisdictions could bring unbanked populations into the financial system, he said. They could also lower the cost of cross-border payments. The key condition is a set of global rules that apply equally to all issuers.
The shift matters because the BIS under Carstens' leadership had been a vocal critic of stablecoins. Its 2022 annual report argued that such tokens posed risks to monetary sovereignty and financial stability. His successor, Schinasi, has continued that line. Carstens' remarks suggest the institution's view may be evolving, or at least that the former chief sees room for coexistence.
For traders, the immediate signal is that regulatory risk around stablecoins may be turning from binary to nuanced. A blanket ban was the worst-case scenario for dollar-pegged tokens like USDT and USDC. Carstens' endorsement of a rules-based path implies that some stablecoin models will survive a regulatory crackdown. The market's current infrastructure exchanges, liquidity pools, on-ramps may not need to be rebuilt.
The path to that outcome is littered with obstacles. The U.S. Congress is debating the CLARITY Act, which would set federal standards for stablecoin issuers. The European Union's Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation comes into full effect next year. Neither piece of law was designed with the other in mind. Carstens stressed the need for global frameworks. The timeline for coordinated rulemaking across the G20 remains uncertain. The Financial Stability Board, which coordinates global crypto policy, issued its recommendations in July 2023. Implementation by member states has been uneven.
Carstens' softening aligns with a broader strategic shift inside the BIS. The institution is now working on a project to link central bank digital currencies with privately issued stablecoins on a common settlement layer, known as Agorá. The project's goal is interoperability, not replacement. Carstens said the success of that effort will depend on whether the private sector and public sector can agree on common standards for reserve assets, redemption rights, and disclosure.
Without such standards, he said, stablecoins will remain a fragmented patchwork of national experiments. That would push innovation to less regulated corners of the industry. Carstens' remarks are likely to be cited by stablecoin lobbyists as evidence that the tide is turning. Whether policy makers deliver on the global frameworks he envisions will be the deciding factor.
The CLARITY Act's Senate vote later this year will offer an early test of whether that global vision can start with U.S. domestic law.
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