
Employment rose 18,200 in June, topping forecasts. The jobless rate slipped to 6.5% as wage growth accelerated to 3.3%. The odds of a BoC rate cut next week recede.
Canada added 18,200 jobs in June, beating the 10,000 consensus forecast. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5% from 6.6%, its second monthly decline. Hiring slowed from May's 87,800 gain. The participation rate held at 65.0%, meaning the drop in joblessness came from more people working, not fewer looking.
Full-time positions increased 131,000 on a year-over-year basis, more than offsetting a decline in part-time roles. Average hourly wages rose 3.3% from a year earlier, accelerating from May's 3.0% pace. The employment rate edged up to 60.8%.
The Bank of Canada meets next week. The report weakens the case for a dovish surprise. Governor Tiff Macklem has said the larger challenge facing Canada is structural. Evolving trade relations under the USMCA review process will reshape investment and growth over time, he said.
One strong payroll print does not resolve those longer-term uncertainties. The domestic economy enters that adjustment period in a position of greater strength than many had assumed.
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