
WTI crude held above $77.50 support after a sharp rebound from the rounding bottom pattern, while Brent rallied from $85 support. A close above $93 could push Brent toward $100, analyst said.
WTI crude slipped to $83.70 on Thursday as some tankers passed through the Strait of Hormuz, easing immediate supply fears. The drop followed a sharp rally in the prior session. Traders took profits after the run-up, Muhammad Umair, an analyst at Gold Predictors, said.
The Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed. Attacks have spread to Iraq, Jordan and the Red Sea, threatening Saudi oil facilities and tanker traffic. The region's supply risk keeps both WTI and Brent supported, Umair added. A severe hit to energy infrastructure or renewed tanker restrictions would push prices sharply higher, he said.
On the 4-hour chart, WTI rebounded from $77.50 support, the neckline of a rounding bottom pattern. The move pushed the price above a trend line from the April high, Umair noted. The RSI hit oversold as the price tested support, pointing to further short-term upside, he said. A break below $77.50 would open a drop toward $70.
The daily chart shows additional support at $80.50, where the earlier rebound began. WTI has traded in a $66 to $120 range over recent months, reflecting high volatility, Umair said.
Brent crude rebounded from $85 support, where the 50-day and 200-day SMAs intersected. That confluence acted as a strong pivot, Umair said. A break below $85 would weaken the short-term trend and target $81. A recovery above $93 could push Brent toward $100. The weekly chart shows Brent dropped sharply from the $100 resistance area, then produced a long lower shadow last week. The correction to $85 introduced a rally. A weekly close above $100 would open the path to $120, Umair said.
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