
Brent crude reached $96, WTI topped $88 after US strikes on Iran and Houthi attacks on Red Sea tankers. Analysts see $120 if Hormuz closes.
Brent crude rose to nearly $96 a barrel on Thursday, and WTI crude climbed above $88, after the United States launched fresh strikes against Iran and Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz. The escalation stoked concerns about a major supply disruption.
The conflict spread to the Red Sea, where Yemen's Houthis attacked Saudi oil tankers and declared a naval blockade. Tankers may take longer routes around Africa, increasing shipping and fuel costs, and delaying deliveries to Europe and Asia.
US crude inventories rose by 2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said. The inventory data was overshadowed by the shipping risks.
Muhammad Umair, a financial analyst and founder of Gold Predictors, said the technical setup points to further gains. WTI crude broke above $85 resistance on the four-hour chart, opening the door to a rally toward $93 to $96, he said. A hold above $80 support could push WTI to $109 near term. For Brent, the daily chart shows a break above $90, with the next target at $110, Umair said. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are in a bullish alignment, and the relative strength index is near 70, indicating strong momentum. He said the higher target of $120 is possible if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed and tensions in the Red Sea escalate.
The military tensions must be reduced to eliminate the current supply premium, Umair said.
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