
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen says Bitcoin could end 2026 $10,000-$20,000 from current levels, with macro factors capping gains. She also questions prospects for US government Bitcoin purchases.
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen expects Bitcoin to trade broadly around its current level through the end of 2026, with potetial swings of $10,000 to $20,000 in either direction. Chen said interest rates and broader economic conditions will cap the cryptocurrency's upside after its recent rally.
“It’s difficult to predict if Bitcoin will end 2026 above or below $70,000,” Chen said. Monatary policy could turn less favorable for risk assets, she added.
Chen described a forecast centered on roughly the same trading range as the more responsible expectation. The view stands apart from more aggressive bullish calls that see Bitcoin's latest advance extending into another sustained leg higher.
Bitcoin's growing link with traditional finance makes interest rates and economic conditions increasingly important to its performance, Chen said. Institutional ownership, exchange-traded products and corporate holdings have deepened the connection. That gives macroeconomic conditions a larger role in determining demand than during earlier cycles dominated by retail traders.
Higher rates can pressure Bitcoin by raising returns on cash and government debt and increasing financing costs, Chen said. Lower rates can have the opposite effect by making non-yielding and riskier investments more attractive.
Bitcoin investors may need to watch central bank expectations alongside crypto-specific factors such as ETF flows and corporate purchases, Chen suggested.
Chen also expressed skepticism that the U.S. government will begin buying Bitcoin for its strategic reserve before the end of President Donald Trump's term, despite the administration's favorable stance on digital assets.
The Trump administration created the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in March 2025 using Bitcoin already forfeited to the federal government. Officials were instructed to study budget-neutral methods to potentially increase the government's holdings without additional tax spening. The U.S. government currently holds about 328,372 BTC, most of it from criminal seizures and asset forfeitures.
Converting the reserve from a stockpile of seized assets into an active purchasing program would require a much larger policy decision, Chen argued. It could need debate among lawmakers about the government's role in owning a volatile asset.
“From a policy perspective, it's probably unlikely,” Chen said. “I just don't see it coming right now.”\Direct federal purchases would differ from retaining Bitcoin the government already owns. Buying would create a new source of sovereign demand. The reserve without purchases has a more limited market effect: keeping forfeited Bitcoin reduces the chance those holdings will be sold. It does not produce reccuring buying pressure.
For the rest of 2026, Chen sees monetary policy and private-sector demand as more immediate variables. ETF flows and corporate treasury purchases could drive prices more than speculation about federal buying, Chen said.
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