
Bitcoin surged 20% in three days, its best rally since early 2023, as Treasury bond purchases pushed yields lower and triggered a $4 billion short squeeze.
Bitcoin climbed over 1% on Monday, pushing toward $80,000 – a level not seen since May. The move capped the largest three-day rally since early 2023, with the token gaining roughly 20% since Thursday.
Ether rose 2% to near $2,470, its highest since January.
The catalyst was a sharp shift in macro expectations. The U.S. Treasury said it would double purchases of long-term government bonds, sending yields lower and reigniting demand for risk assets. Bitcoin and gold both caught the bid.
That policy change triggered a massive short squeeze. Over $4 billion in bearish crypto positions were liquidated as prices climbed, traders said. The forced covering accelerated the move, turning a modest bounce into the kind of three-day surge the market has not seen in nearly two years.
Institutional demand has followed. Spot Bitcoin ETFs drew $1.92 billion in net inflows last week – the largest weekly haul since October, when Bitcoin hit its cycle peak. The flows suggest the buying is not just retail speculation or short covering, but genuine new allocation.
Jonathan Krinsky of BTIG noted a similar pattern in January 2023, when Bitcoin surged roughly 20% in three days and broke above its descending trendline. That rally eventually faded, with Bitcoin falling back to its 200-day moving average, which then held as support.
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, added to the bullish narrative over the weekend. He warned that major global economies may face a debt crisis in the coming years and advised investors to allocate a modest portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin as a hedge.
Stocks tied to crypto treasuries followed Bitcoin higher. Strive jumped 8%, while Strategy gained 2%. Ethereum-focused corporate holders Bitmine and Sharplink rose 5% and 4%, respectively.
The question now is whether this rally has legs or repeats the January 2023 pattern – a sharp spike that fades once the squeeze exhausts itself. The ETF flows suggest real demand, but the macro catalyst – lower yields – could reverse as quickly as it appeared.
Bitcoin traded near $79,400 late Monday in New York. Ether changed hands at $2,465.
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