
The BIS warns private stablecoins risk fragmenting the global monetary system, targeting Tether and USDC. The report urges bank-like reserve rules and coordinated international oversight.
The Bank for International Settlements issued one of its strongest warnings yet against private stablecoins, arguing the rapid growth risks fragmenting the global monetary system and undermining financial stability.
The Basel-based institution, often called the central bank for central banks, said in a report published Monday that unbacked stablecoins could create parallel payment systems that bypass traditional oversight. The warning targets the largest issuers by market cap, including Tether and USD Coin, whose combined supply now exceeds $150 billion.
"The proliferation of private stablecoins could lead to a fragmentation of the international monetary system," the BIS said in the report. "This would complicate the implementation of monetary policy and increase risks to financial stability."
The BIS focused on three specific risks. First, stablecoin reserves held in commercial bank deposits could amplify bank runs during stress periods, as happened during the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March 2023 when Circle's USDC briefly broke its dollar peg. Second, the lack of consistent reserve transparency across issuers makes it difficult for regulators to assess systemic exposure. Third, cross-border stablecoin flows could bypass capital controls and exchange-rate management tools that central banks rely on.
The report arrives as regulators worldwide accelerate stablecoin rulemaking. The European Union's Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation takes full effect in December, requiring issuers to hold at least 60% of reserves in cash or cash equivalents. The U.K. is finalizing its own framework under the Financial Conduct Authority. U.S. lawmakers are debating the Lummis-Gillibrand Payment Stablecoin Act, which would require full reserve backing and state-level licensing.
The BIS stopped short of calling for an outright ban, instead urging a coordinated international approach. It recommended that stablecoin issuers be subject to the same capital and liquidity requirements as commercial banks, and that cross-border stablecoin transfers be reported through existing financial intelligence channels.
Tether and Circle did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the BIS report.
The warning echoes earlier statements from the Financial Stability Board and the International Monetary Fund, both of which have flagged stablecoins as a priority risk area. The BIS itself has been developing its own central bank digital currency platform, Project mBridge, which now includes 26 central banks as observers.
For traders, the practical read-through is straightforward. A coordinated regulatory push would compress the spread between stablecoin yields and short-term Treasury yields, since issuers would face higher reserve costs. That would reduce the incentive for arbitrage strategies that rely on stablecoin yield differentials. The bigger unknown is whether regulators impose bank-like capital charges on reserves, which would cut into issuer revenue and potentially push smaller players out of the market.
The BIS report does not change the immediate regulatory timeline. The EU's MiCA deadline is December 30. The U.K. framework is expected in the first half of 2025. The U.S. bill remains in committee with no scheduled vote.
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