
Treasury Secretary Bessent said the long-dated bond buyback could exceed $4 billion, part of a push to show yields don't reflect fundamentals. He also said the deficit has likely peaked and announced tougher Iran sanctions.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the long-dated bond buyback program could exceed $4 billion, part of a broader effort to signal that yields are out of line with the economy's fundamentals. In an interview with CNBC, Bessent described the buyback as a communication tool. "Part of it is signalling," he said. "We want to show that yields do not reflect underlying fundamentals."
The remarks come as the 10-year Treasury yield has hovered near multi-month highs, with the market pricing in a slower pace of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Bessent pushed back on the idea that yields are driven by fiscal concerns, saying there is "nothing magic" about the $40 trillion debt level. He also said he expects tariff revenue in 2026 to be similar to 2025 levels, and that there is a "very good chance we've seen peak deficit."
The Treasury Secretary acknowledged that markets "got a little ahead of themselves" on rate expectations, but he did not specify a target for yields. On the mechanics of the buyback, Bessent said the decision is independent of interest rates. "Rates have nothing to do with the buyback decision," he said. He added that the Treasury would "adjust to any kind of Fed bond runoff," and that the Treasury and the Fed would work together on any changes to the balance sheet.
Bessent also addressed the administration's approach to Iran, saying he will hold a press conference on Monday to discuss actions. He described the policy as "maximum economic pressure" and said it "means likely not a kinetic restart." Oil markets have misinterpreted the strategy, he argued. "There will be coordinated economic isolation," Bessent said. "If countries insist on doing business with Iran, the US will enforce actions against them." He promised the "toughest sanctions in history" and said the goal is to "collapse this regime."
When asked whether the actions will include China, Bessent said "some conversations better to be private," but added that he is confident everyone, including China, wants to see the Strait of Hormuz reopened. Oil prices had edged higher earlier in the session on concerns about supply disruptions, but Bessent's comments suggested the focus is on economic isolation rather than military conflict.
The dollar index, which had slipped earlier in the week on softer US data, recovered some ground after Bessent's remarks. The 10-year yield rose about 3 basis points on the day, with traders parsing the mix of buyback signalling and fiscal consolidation promises. Bessent's assertion that the deficit has likely peaked could cap the recent upward drift in term premiums, though investors will watch for concrete fiscal measures.
Bessent said the administration will "probably announce increased focus on fiscal consolidation." He did not provide a timeline or specific targets. The Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement in November will offer the next formal update on borrowing plans.
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