
Stablecoin volumes projected to hit $33 trillion in 2025, almost all dollar-pegged. Yat Siu says Europe must build a euro stablecoin or lose financial sovereignty.
Yat Siu, co-founder and executive chairman of Animoca Brands, delivered a warning at the Global Digital Asset Forum in Vienna on January 26: Europe faces a sovereignty risk from its lack of a meaningful euro stablecoin. The mechanism is stablecoin-driven dollar dominance.
Stablecoins processed $27.6 trillion in transaction volume in 2024. That figure is projected to hit $33 trillion in 2025. Almost all of it flows through tokens pegged to the US dollar. Siu argued that the absence of a euro counterpart turns Europe into a consumer of American financial infrastructure rather than a builder of its own.
Stablecoins have moved beyond crypto-native trading. The 2024 volume reflects growing use by traditional finance for settlement, treasury management, and cross-border payments. Each use case locks users into the currency denomination of the token. With virtually the entire stablecoin market pegged to the USD, every new user integrates into dollar-based digital rails.
Siu described stablecoins as an “onboarding mechanism” for broader digital assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). The logic is straightforward: a user enters via a stablecoin, then moves into other crypto. If that gateway token is denominated in dollars, the US dollar gains structural advantages in the digital asset economy – advantages that compound with each transaction.
The projected jump from $27.6 trillion to $33 trillion in 2025 implies the gap will widen. Europe's share of that volume is small. Siu's argument is that inertia is not neutral: every year without a euro-denominated stablecoin deepens the dollar's network effects in digital finance.
Europe's Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation (MiCA) is the most comprehensive crypto regulatory framework any major economy has produced. It gives stablecoin issuers a clear licensing path. No major euro-pegged stablecoin has emerged under MiCA.
Siu framed this as a sovereignty problem. Regulation without a product leaves Europe as a consumer of American financial infrastructure rather than a builder of its own. The risk to watch: MiCA could become a compliance burden for non-European issuers without creating a competitive European alternative.
A credible euro stablecoin would allow European businesses to settle cross-border payments, manage treasury, and interact with DeFi protocols in their home currency. It would reduce currency conversion costs and FX risk for European users. It would also position the euro as a settlement currency in digital markets, countering the dollar's current dominance.
Siu's own firm is proof that the capability exists outside Europe. Animoca Brands secured one of Hong Kong's first regulated stablecoin licenses through a partnership with Standard Chartered and HKT. That places Animoca alongside institutions like HSBC in Hong Kong's emerging stablecoin ecosystem. The model exists: regulated stablecoins linked to a major economy. Europe has the regulatory framework but not the execution.
Three factors could deepen Europe's dependency on dollar stablecoins:
Siu's warning is not hypothetical. The timeline is short. If the $33 trillion projected for 2025 is mostly dollar-denominated, Europe's digital financial infrastructure becomes an extension of the US monetary system by default.
Hong Kong's approach offers a contrast. By granting regulated stablecoin licenses to firms like Animoca Brands and Standard Chartered, HK is deliberately building a dollar-pegged stablecoin ecosystem under its own regulatory umbrella. It is not trying to replace the dollar – it is capturing the value of being a hub within the dollar system.
Risk to watch: Europe's stablecoin policy gap could lock in dollar dependency for digital finance. The next 12 months will determine whether MiCA enables a euro stablecoin or simply codifies the current gap.
European policymakers face a choice: compete to build a euro stablecoin, or accept that the continent's digital financial infrastructure will run on someone else's currency. The volumes are already in motion. The question is whether Europe moves with them.
What would reduce the risk:
Siu's argument is not about technological superiority. It is about first-mover advantage in a market that is growing too fast for policymakers to wait. Europe can still build its own digital financial rails. The window is narrower than the projection to $33 trillion implies.
For broader context on how stablecoins affect the crypto ecosystem, see our crypto market analysis. On the regulatory side, read the ECB Warns Stablecoins Threaten Bank Deposits and Policy Tools and MiCA Stablecoin Rules Create Bank Failure Risk, Bitgo CEO Warns.
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