
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost reports over 84% of altcoins are below their 200-day moving average, marking the longest depression streak since 2022. No recovery in sight.
Altcoins are in their longest depressed trading range since the 2022 bear market. Over 84% of altcoins trade below their 200-day moving average, with few signs of a turnaround, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost.
The streak began after the October 2025 liquidation event. Darkfrost said it is the second-longest continuous underperformance period since 2020.
Altcoins remain closely tied to Bitcoin (BTC) sentiment. A weakening BTC does not push traders into altcoins. Instead, altcoins track BTC's direction but suffer steeper losses during downturns. The altcoin season index sits at a neutral 49, showing no rotation from Bitcoin into smaller tokens.
Since October 2025, altcoins have drifted sideways for eight months. The market has lost over $1 billion in value during that stretch. Ethereum (ETH) and Solana, which historically triggered altcoin rallies, are both stagnant. User enthusiasm for both networks is low.
Most DeFi tokens have underperformed in the past 90 days. A few exceptions exist. HYPE and ZEC posted gains. Worldcoin (WLD) rose on AI-related interest. JTO and JUP reflect continued activity on Solana. ONDO has benefited from growth in tokenized assets and higher trading volumes.
A recovery would likely need a catalyst from Bitcoin or a revival in Ethereum and Solana. Darkfrost did not offer a near-term trigger. The analyst noted that not even coins with strong fundamentals are recovering.
Another sell-off or continued BTC weakness would deepen the depression. Binance altcoin pumps are mostly short squeezes on low-float tokens, quickly corrected. Traders are wary of those assets.
Despite the gloom, altcoin volumes still account for about 50% of all trading on Binance. The activity is concentrated in assets with minimal free float and insider-controlled supply, the analyst said.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.