
The tentative IAMAW deal covers 11,000 workers. Ratification vote and board approval next. The agreement removes strike risk. Wage cost details are key for the stock.
Air Canada on Saturday reached a tentative collective agreement with the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, covering more than 11,000 employees. The deal requires ratification by union members and approval by the company's board before it takes effect.
The agreement removes the immediate risk of a strike at Canada's largest airline during the peak summer travel period. A work stoppage would have disrupted flight schedules, affected revenue, and damaged customer relationships. The union represents mechanics, baggage handlers, cargo agents, and other ground crew. Negotiations had run for months, with the strike threat hanging over the stock.
Shares of Air Canada closed Friday at C$17.12, down 15% from an April high of C$20.20. Part of that decline reflected labor uncertainty. The tentative deal resolves that overhang. Financial terms were not disclosed. The pilots' union ratified a new contract in late 2023, setting a precedent for wage expectations. For the machinists, similar increases would add to the airline's labor costs.
Air Canada returned to profitability in 2023 after pandemic losses. The first quarter of 2025 showed revenue per available seat mile positive, driven by strong travel demand. Higher labor expenses from the new contract could pressure margins. The airline's cost per available seat mile, excluding fuel, was C$0.122 in the first quarter, up from C$0.116 a year earlier. Further increases from a new machinist contract would push that metric higher.
The machinist deal covers roughly half of Air Canada's total workforce. The pilots' contract runs through 2027. A ratified machinist agreement would bring labor stability across most operations for several years. The next milestone is the ratification vote, expected within weeks. If members approve, the new contract takes effect and strike risk disappears. If rejected, negotiations resume and the risk of a strike returns.
For now, the removal of labor uncertainty is a positive for sentiment. The path of the stock will depend on whether revenue growth offsets the cost headwind. The ratification vote is the next concrete catalyst. For broader context on airline stocks and sector trends, see our stock market analysis.
Prepared with AlphaScala editorial tooling from the source reporting linked above. Indexable analysis may include a cited Alpha Score value. Publishing checks screen each story before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.