
GSR's Spencer Hallarn says AI infrastructure funding is draining liquidity from crypto. A Fed pivot or cooling AI investment could reverse the trend and reignite Bitcoin's rally.
Crypto markets are grinding through a slow patch, and GSR's head of markets says artificial intelligence is the reason. Spencer Hallarn told AlphaScala that the scale of capital big tech is raising for AI infrastructure is tightening liquidity across markets, and crypto is feeling the pull.
"The scale of capital being raised to fund AI infrastructure, including the equity big tech companies are issuing to pay for it, is tightening liquidity across markets more broadly, and crypto is feeling that pull," Hallarn said.
The environment has pushed GSR's clients toward longer-term budget planning. Projects are protecting funds for dollar-denominated expenses regardless of crypto prices, which is driving demand for OTC hedging structures.
Hallarn also flagged real-world assets as a growing area of interest, though he questioned whether current tokenization platforms generate enough activity to justify the attention they attract. Many operate as "walled gardens" with extensive KYC requirements but have yet to produce meaningful transaction volumes, he said.
"I'd actually frame tokenization less as a new trading product in its own right and more as a challenge to how traditional banking and settlement rails work today," Hallarn said. "The bigger opportunity is in fixing the plumbing, not just wrapping an asset in a token."
GSR sees its core market-making discipline as "quite portable" across crypto, commodities and securities, with differences depending on each market's structure. The firm is developing price feeds and infrastructure bridging traditional finance with crypto.
A crypto bull run, Hallarn said, depends on macro conditions. "If AI-related investment cools off and the Fed starts cutting rates, liquidity should come back into the system, and that's the kind of environment that could support another Bitcoin move higher."
He was less certain about smaller cryptocurrencies, arguing the sector must deliver on promised use cases to sustain long-term value. Despite the slowdown, Hallarn said client needs haven't changed. "Clients need liquidity, hedging, and execution regardless of where we are in the cycle."
Drafted by a large language model from the source reporting linked above, then screened by automated publishing checks. It is not read by a journalist before publication. Some articles cite our Alpha Score. Verify prices and figures against the original source. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.