
84% of altcoins on Binance are below their 200-day moving average, stretching the underperformance streak to the second-longest since 2020. CryptoQuant
The proportion of altcoins on Binance trading below their 200-day moving average hit 84% last week, a reading that pushes the current underperformance streak into the second-longest since 2020, CryptoQuant analysts wrote in a report.
CryptoQuant measures the bear market toll by comparing each altcoin's drawdown from its Q4 2025 high to Bitcoin's decline. The gap has widened sharply: some altcoins have lost nearly 65% since that peak, while Bitcoin's drop fluctuates above 50%.
The Total 3 index, which tracks altcoin market capitalisation excluding Ethereum, also plunged further below its 200-day moving average. On Binance, wallet inflows continue, setting up additional selling pressure. Retail traders have been dumping positions to stem losses, and a cross-section of whales that accumulated during the first quarter of the year are now gradually exiting, the analysts said.
"A prolonged period of stagnation across the majority of altcoins, one that is pushing investors to their limits," the report said. "That said, this marks the second-longest underperformance streak since 2020. The only comparable episode occurred during the last bear market, where this dynamic lasted approximately ten months."
Bitcoin traded below $60,000, offering little support for the broader market. Bitcoin (BTC) profile
Ethereum slid 5.2% last week, extending its monthly decline above 22%. The leading altcoin trades at $1,566, well below projections from two quarters ago. Some bulls are pricing in a recovery after the cycle bottom, the report said. Solana dropped 1.5% on the day but maintained a weekly gain of 4% with positive inflows still intact. XRP lost 6% over the same period. The broader crypto market capitalisation dipped 2.07% to $2.04 trillion.
CryptoQuant also flagged that the U.S. reserve ratio is flashing risk as stablecoin supply contracts. If these factors continue to erode, altcoins could suffer an extended period before any rebound, the analysts said. The same pressures have contributed to declining spot ETF volumes and institutional fund flows over the past 30 days.
The catalyst that snapped the 2020 underperformance was a broad market recovery driven by Bitcoin's halving and subsequent retail inflow. No comparable catalyst is visible on the current calendar. The streak now stands at eight months, compared to ten months in the 2020 bear market, the report said.
Prepared with AlphaScala research tooling and grounded in primary market data: live prices, fundamentals, SEC filings, hedge-fund holdings, and insider activity. Each story is checked against AlphaScala publishing rules before release. Educational coverage, not personalized advice.