Inflation impacts stock prices primarily through interest rates and corporate profit margins. When inflation rises, central banks often increase benchmark interest rates to cool the economy. Higher rates raise borrowing costs for corporations, which reduces their net income and free cash flow. This creates downward pressure on stock valuations because future earnings are discounted at a higher rate.
Input costs also rise during inflationary periods. Companies must pay more for raw materials and labor. If a business cannot pass these increased costs to consumers through higher prices, its profit margins shrink. This typically leads to lower earnings reports and potential declines in share prices. Conversely, companies with strong pricing power can maintain margins despite rising costs, making them more resilient during these cycles.
Investors often rotate capital away from growth stocks toward value stocks or defensive sectors during high inflation. Growth stocks are particularly sensitive because their valuations rely heavily on earnings expected far into the future. High inflation erodes the present value of those future dollars. Trading and investing in the stock market always involves significant risk, as macroeconomic shifts can cause rapid changes in asset prices. Diversification and understanding company-specific sensitivity to inflation are critical components of risk management.
How this answer was produced
AI-assisted draft, human-reviewed by AlphaScala editorial against our standards before publication. General education, not advice for your specific situation.