
Prioritizing domestic supply for biofuel blending, India maintains strict shipment controls despite a production recovery. Global markets face supply risks.
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The Indian government is considering maintaining restrictions on sugar exports as it looks to prioritize domestic supply for an expanded ethanol blending program with petrol. Despite achieving a bumper output during the 2023-24 season, the country has kept a tight lid on shipments to ensure local availability and support its renewable energy goals.
This policy approach follows the 2022-23 season, during which India faced a notable sugar shortage. That supply crunch prompted authorities to implement strict export controls to stabilize the domestic market. Even though production levels recovered significantly in the subsequent season, the government opted not to ease these measures, signaling a strategic shift toward channeling surplus sugar production into ethanol manufacturing. By increasing the ethanol blending mandate, officials aim to reduce the nation's reliance on imported fossil fuels while managing domestic commodity inventories. Market participants now expect these export limitations to persist as the government balances industrial energy requirements with the needs of the domestic food supply chain.
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